UEFA Champions LeagueFull time

Feyenoord vs Como

Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC

Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord

3–2

Como

The result

18'Goal: Assane Diao Diaoune (Como)
20'Goal: Gjivai Zechiel (Feyenoord)
52'Goal: Anis Hadj Moussa (Feyenoord)
81'Own goal: Robert Sanchez (Feyenoord)
90+3'Goal: Anastasios Douvikas (Como)

0.61xG1.3

13Shots11

5On target5

48%Possession52%

5Corners1

What APEX wrote before kickoff · Fri 9 Oct, 01:50 UTC

Como arrive at De Kuip as clear favourites on every signal

The pre-match probabilities make Como the outright favourite at 50.4%, with Feyenoord at just 26.4% on home soil — an unusual reading that the underlying data broadly supports rather than challenges. Como's recent xG for (2.09) comfortably outstrips Feyenoord's xG against (0.65 per game), suggesting the Italian side can generate genuine chances wherever they play. Feyenoord's sole Champions League appearance this season ended in a 1-5 home loss to Barcelona, leaving them bottom-third of the standings with a -4 goal difference, while Como sit fifth with 3 points and a +3 goal difference after a 4-1 demolition of RB Leipzig. The numbers are pointing in the same direction: Como look like the stronger outfit in this specific context, even away from home.

Como have a clear edge in this match

Key factors

Pre-match probabilities strongly favour Como at 50.4% versus Feyenoord's 26.4% — a notable lean for an away side
Feyenoord's only Champions League game this season: a 1-5 home defeat, xG and defensive solidity that hold up in the Eredivisie clearly haven't translated to elite European competition
Como's xG for across their last 8 matches stands at 2.09 per game, while Feyenoord's xG against is just 0.65 — but that xG against figure is heavily shaped by domestic opponents, not Champions League-level attackers
Como beat RB Leipzig 4-1 in their Champions League opener and have gone 4W-3D-1L in their last 8, demonstrating consistent quality across Serie A and Europe
Feyenoord's 5W-2D-1L recent form looks healthy, but five of those wins came against Eredivisie sides (including 5-0 vs Utrecht and 7-0 vs PEC Zwolle), masking the single European exposure that ended catastrophically
API-Football's model independently leans Como, adding a second-opinion signal in the same direction as the pre-match probabilities

What could change it

Feyenoord's overall recent form is genuinely strong — 5W-2D-1L with a 3.25 goals-per-game scoring rate — and De Kuip can generate an atmosphere that shifts momentum. If Como's away defensive shape is not as tight as their home performances suggest (they kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 8), Feyenoord's attacking output could make this closer than the probabilities imply.