Match previews
The week's big matches, read early.
Form, xG, head-to-head and pre-match probabilities for the biggest games, written by APEX days before kickoff. Each page keeps the result and every earlier meeting.
Tuesday 6 October
Friday 9 October
Saturday 10 October
- Premier League11:30 UTC
Arsenalvs
LeedsArsenal's form machine meets a Leeds side punching above its weight
- Premier League14:00 UTC
Chelseavs
BournemouthChelsea favoured but their xG numbers tell a different story
- Premier League14:00 UTC
Aston Villavs
BrentfordBrentford's form and xG dominance make Villa's home advantage irrelevant
- La Liga14:15 UTC
Alavesvs
Atletico MadridAtletico's firepower dwarfs Alaves across every key metric
- Serie A16:00 UTC
Intervs
ParmaInter's form and numbers make a compelling case for dominance
- La Liga16:30 UTC
Barcelonavs
GetafeBarcelona's historic form meets Getafe's defensive survival instincts
- Premier League16:30 UTC
Manchester Unitedvs
TottenhamUnited hold the edge, but their form is far from convincing
- Serie A18:45 UTC
Napolivs
FrosinoneFrosinone's form clashes hard with the pre-match numbers
- La Liga19:00 UTC
Real Madridvs
VillarrealEvery signal lines up firmly behind Real Madrid at the Bernabéu
Sunday 11 October
Monday 12 October
Recent results
- UEFA Nations LeagueMon 5 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Italy3–1
TürkiyeItaly's form is dominant; Türkiye yet to score in this group
- UEFA Nations LeagueMon 5 Oct, 18:45 UTC
France4–1
BelgiumFrance's defensive wall meets Belgium's leaky finishing
- UEFA Nations LeagueSun 4 Oct, 16:00 UTC
Kosovo1–1
AustriaAustria arrive as clear favourites with the data to back it up
- UEFA Nations LeagueSat 3 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Switzerland2–1
SloveniaSwitzerland's dominance backed by numbers across the board
- UEFA Nations LeagueSat 3 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Spain3–1
CzechiaSpain's form machine faces a Czech side running on empty
- UEFA Nations LeagueSat 3 Oct, 18:45 UTC
FYR Macedonia0–2
ScotlandScotland heavily favoured against a Macedonia side scoring nothing
- UEFA Nations LeagueSat 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC
Croatia0–7
EnglandEngland's form looks formidable, Croatia's xG tells a concerning story
- UEFA Nations LeagueFri 2 Oct, 18:45 UTC
France1–1
ItalyFrance's xG machine meets Italy's defensive frailty under the surface
- UEFA Nations LeagueFri 2 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Belgium3–0
TürkiyeBelgium's form looks sharper, but Türkiye's xG tells a different story
- UEFA Nations LeagueThu 1 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Greece2–2
NetherlandsGreece lead the table but Netherlands carry the stronger underlying numbers
- UEFA Nations LeagueThu 1 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Rep. Of Ireland2–2
AustriaAustria arrive as clear favourites, but Ireland's home form complicates the picture
- UEFA Nations LeagueThu 1 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Germany2–0
SerbiaGermany heavily favoured but their own form tells a messier story
- UEFA Nations LeagueThu 1 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Denmark2–4
PortugalPortugal's probabilities lead, but their xG tell a quieter story
- UEFA Nations LeagueTue 29 Sept, 18:45 UTC
Scotland0–3
SwitzerlandSwitzerland's underlying numbers make a strong case for their 45.8% probability
- UEFA Nations LeagueTue 29 Sept, 18:45 UTC
Czechia0–2
EnglandEngland heavily favoured, but form signals carry nuance
- UEFA Nations LeagueSun 27 Sept, 16:00 UTC
Serbia1–2
NetherlandsNetherlands heavy favourites as Serbia's form crumbles
- UEFA Nations LeagueSat 26 Sept, 18:45 UTC
England2–3
SpainSpain's defensive fortress makes them heavy favourites here
- UEFA Nations LeagueSat 26 Sept, 18:45 UTC
FYR Macedonia0–3
SwitzerlandSwitzerland's data dominance makes this a lopsided contest
- UEFA Nations LeagueSat 26 Sept, 18:45 UTC
Czechia1–2
CroatiaCroatia favoured, but their xG numbers tell a messier story
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APEX is sports analysis, not betting advice.