FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta

The APEX preview · Wed 28 Oct, 01:03 UTC

Farul arrive in form; Voluntari's collapse makes them vulnerable

The pre-match probabilities give Farul Constanta a 38.7% chance of winning, FC Voluntari 34.5%, with a draw at 26.8% — so the visitor is the marginal favourite despite playing away. That lean is strongly backed by the underlying form: Voluntari have lost five of their last eight matches, scoring just 1.13 goals per game while conceding 1.63, and their season average of 1.0 goals for against 2.2 against is one of the most alarming attacking records in the division. Farul, by contrast, sit seventh in Liga I with 20 points from 13 games and a recent record of 4W-2D-2L in their last eight, generating an xG of 2.4 per game — meaning they are creating chances at a rate that should genuinely trouble this Voluntari defence. The one genuine tension is that Voluntari's goal difference of -16 on the season tells a stark story, yet Farul's own defensive side has been porous too, conceding 1.63 per game across the same recent window.

Farul Constanta marginally favoured

Key factors

• Farul's pre-match win probability (38.7%) edges Voluntari (34.5%), making the visitor the slim favourite despite home advantage
• Voluntari have lost five of their last eight matches and carry a brutal season average of 2.2 goals conceded per game
• Farul's recent xG of 2.4 for per game suggests genuine attacking quality, not just fortunate results
• Voluntari's season goal difference stands at -16 after 13 Liga I games — the worst in the data provided
• Farul have posted 4 wins in their last 8 and hold 20 points in 13 league games, sitting comfortably in seventh
• Both sides have conceded in 63% (Voluntari) and 50% (Farul) of recent games, underlining that neither defence is solid

What could change it

Voluntari do hold an interesting head-to-head narrative at home — they won 3-0 in the most recent meeting at this venue — though H2H history carries near-zero predictive weight once current form is factored in. Farul's two heavy away defeats (0-4 at Dinamo, 0-2 at Craiova) in recent weeks show they can be exposed on the road, which is the main credible argument for a Voluntari result.

Pre-match probabilities

FC Voluntari

34.5%

Draw

26.8%

Farul Constanta

38.7%

Recent form · per game, last 8

Head-to-head · last 5

• 2026-07-11FC Voluntari3–0Farul Constanta
• 2023-11-25FC Voluntari4–2Farul Constanta
• 2023-09-26FC Voluntari2–0Farul Constanta
• 2023-07-22Farul Constanta4–1FC Voluntari
• 2022-12-16FC Voluntari1–1Farul Constanta

The table · Liga I

• Liga IMon 19 Oct, 18:00 UTC
  FC Voluntari1–2FCSB

  FCSB heavily favoured, but their recent form is shakier than expected

• Liga ISat 24 Oct, 17:00 UTC
  CFR 1907 ClujvsDinamo Bucuresti

  Dinamo arrive in blistering form; Cluj's numbers tell a different story

• Liga ISat 31 Oct, 14:00 UTC
  Corvinul HunedoaravsArges Pitesti

  Corvinul hold a clear edge at home despite shaky recent form

• Liga ISat 31 Oct, 18:00 UTC
  Petrolul PloiestivsCFR 1907 Cluj

  Narrow CFR edge masks a genuinely tight three-way contest